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The US Presidential Race: A View from Ohio
Although Barack Obama still has 16 months remaining in his term, the race to decide who will replace him in the White House is already well under way in the US. Seventeen Republicans and five Democrats have officially launched their campaigns, and the race that most analysts anticipated in the Fall of 2016 between Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush seems much less likely every day. Nationally, billionaire real estate developer and reality TV star Donald Trump has a fairly comfortable lead over his sixteen Republican opponents, and in some early primary states, such as New Hampshire, Hillary Clinton has seen her lead over Bernie Sanders evaporate. Just what are we to make of the 2016 Presidential Campaign? Will Democratic voters prove, as they did in 2008, that there is no such thing as an inevitable nominee? Will Republicans really allow Donald Trump to take his campaign all the way to their national convention? And if the Republicans ultimately reject both Trump and Bush, which of the other fifteen candidates will be giving the acceptance speech in Cleveland, Ohio in July of 2016? Along the way, will important international issues, like the pending conclusion of the TPP negotiations, be affected by ongoing campaign?
Paul Sracic, chair of the Department of Politics and International Relations at Youngstown State University, will take a look at all these questions from his vantage point in Ohio, a state that is once again likely to be ground zero in the U.S. election.